Rio Tinto wants lithium assets, but not at current prices

Prices for the coveted battery metal rebounded this week for the first time in five months after tumbling from last year’s record highs. This is partly attributed to world No. 2 producer Chile’s decision to tighten state control of its lithium industry.
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“I think it is very difficult to justify to go in and buy at these high prices unless you already know you can sell the lithium at a high price,” Stausholm told reporters after Rio Tinto’s annual general meeting in Australia, the WSJ reports.

The world’s second-largest miner saw its battery metals ambitions partially crushed last year, after Serbia revoked its licence for the $2.4 billion Jadar lithium project.

Rio, which has been actively searching for new assets since, bought later the Rincon lithium project in Argentina, where it has faced an annual inflation rate of more than 100% in the past year.

Rio’s boss said that while the outlook for long-run lithium prices was unclear, the company expects a shortage of the metal.

Committed lithium supply and capacity expansions, according to Rio Tinto, will contribute only about 15% to supply growth over the 2023-2050 period. The remaining 85% would need to come from new projects.

The need for more lithium sources have spurred mergers and acquisitions in the sector, highlighted by Albemarle’s (NYSE: ALB) failed attempt to buy Australia’s lithium junior Liontown Resources (ASX: LTR).

Energy transition
Board chair Dominic Barton said electric vehicles and battery storage would raise lithium demand more than 40 times by 2040, while 20 times more cobalt and nickel would be needed.

“We have a critical role to play in enabling this energy transition, supplying essential minerals … all of which are vital for the transition to a low-carbon economy,” Barton said at the annual meeting.

He also warned that to meet the Paris climate accord goals, the world would need 700 million tonnes of copper over the next 20 years, while by 2050 wind power capacity would have to increase eightfold.

“To put that into perspective, one wind turbine of three megawatts requires 300 tonnes of steel, five tonnes of copper, three tonnes of aluminium and two tonnes of rare earths,” Barton noted.

Rio Tinto currently has no lithium projects in Australia, which is the top producing nation of the battery metal produced from hard-rock spodumene.

In contrast to other major producers like Chile, Argentina and China, which produce it mainly from salt flats in evaporation ponds.